Knowing the Limits of Your Own Judgment
Overconfidence and chronic hedging are the same defect wearing different clothes. Calibration is not humility; it is an accuracy property, and unlike humility it can be…
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Overconfidence and chronic hedging are the same defect wearing different clothes. Calibration is not humility; it is an accuracy property, and unlike humility it can be…
Read →The strength of a gut feeling carries no information about its reliability. A hunch from a domain where you have no valid experience feels exactly as…
Read →Judgment cannot be taught, but the conditions that manufacture it can be arranged. The central one is permitted failure at survivable scale, which almost every organization…
Read →Promotion is presented as accumulation. It is also a set of subtractions, and the largest of them is the loss of accurate information about yourself from…
Read →You cannot evaluate the work. You can evaluate the reasoning, and the difference between those two things is the whole of the skill.
Read →Importance is not the test. A thing cannot be delegated when the act of delegating it destroys the thing, and most violations are conflict avoidance in…
Read →Authority is bounded and responsibility is not. The gap between them is permanent, and the characteristic failure of mid-level leaders is treating it as a defect…
Read →The signals are quiet and specific, and the instinctive remedy makes it worse. Standing is not affection, and a leader who campaigns for it reads as…
Read →Position, power, influence, and standing are four separate things that arrive on different schedules. The most common error is assuming they accumulate together, and position is…
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