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The Unbooked Cost of Delay

A wrong decision has a name attached to it. Somebody chose, and when it goes badly the organization knows precisely whose judgment to examine.

A decision deferred has no name on it at all. Nothing was chosen. No memo exists. When the cost eventually materialises it does so as a general condition of the business rather than as anyone’s error, and no review will ever locate the moment it was incurred.

This asymmetry explains far more organizational delay than caution does. Waiting is not merely the safe option in outcome terms. It is the only option that is free in accountability terms, and people respond to that pricing whether or not they could articulate it.

What the waiting actually costs

Four things, none of which appear on a statement.

The position deteriorates while you hold it. Options expire on their own schedule. The candidate accepts elsewhere. The building goes under contract. The supplier’s price was good in March and is not good in July. Nobody records that the organization paid an extra eleven percent because a decision took four months, because by July the price is simply the price.

The organization freezes around the open question. An unresolved decision of any size suspends everything downstream of it. Managers stop initiating work that might be wasted. Hiring pauses. Two departments each wait to see what the other does. The visible symptom is sluggishness, and it will be diagnosed as a culture problem by people who have not noticed that eleven things are waiting on one unmade choice.

People decide for themselves in the vacuum. Work does not stop while leadership deliberates. It proceeds on assumptions, and the assumptions differ by department. By the time the decision is announced, three groups have built four months of work on incompatible readings of what was probably going to happen, and the announcement now costs more to implement than it would have in March.

The awaited information frequently never arrives. Much delay is justified by a specific expectation: after the audit, once the quarter closes, when the consultant reports. A large share of the time the arriving information is ambiguous, or answers a slightly different question, or raises a new one. The delay was purchased against a benefit that did not materialise, and nobody goes back to check whether it did.

Succession is the clearest case

Consider a family manufacturer where the owner is sixty-eight and the question of who runs it next has been live and unresolved for five years.

Nothing has gone wrong. Revenue is fine. No decision has been made and therefore no decision has been wrong. Meanwhile the capable general manager has quietly begun taking calls, because at forty-four he cannot wait indefinitely to learn whether there is a path. The two adult children have each formed a private understanding of the plan, and the understandings differ. The bank has noticed and has started asking a question at renewal that it did not use to ask. None of this is on a report.

If the owner had chosen badly in year one, the error would have been visible and correctable. Choosing nothing for five years has cost considerably more, and the cost has been distributed across so many small events that it will never be attributed to the decision that was not made.

When waiting is genuinely right

Two conditions, and both have to hold.

Information is actually arriving, on a date you can name, and it will materially change the answer rather than merely add confidence. And the option to act does not decay while you wait, meaning the choice available in September is the same choice available today at the same price.

Where both hold, waiting is correct and should be stated as a decision in its own right. Where the second fails, which is the common case, you are not waiting. You are paying for time, and you should at least know the rate.

Put a date on it

The correction is small and almost entirely procedural.

When a decision is not going to be made today, record three things: that it is open, the date it will be decided, and what specifically you are waiting for. Then add the item most people omit, which is what you will do if the awaited thing does not arrive. A delay with a date and a default is a plan. A delay without them is drift, and drift is what everything above describes.

Tell people. An organization that knows a decision is coming on the fourteenth will hold position until the fourteenth. An organization that has heard nothing for four months will fill the silence with its own assumptions, and it is the filling rather than the waiting that does most of the damage.

The discipline that follows from this is uncomfortable in a specific way. Naming the date converts an invisible, unattributable delay into a visible commitment with your name on it, which is exactly the thing the original delay was avoiding.

Edited by Patrick J. Wolf, PhD

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